Nature commentary (March 2019) update from authors

Home / Nature commentary (March 2019) update from authors

In this post, I am sharing an email update from the authors of the March 2019 commentary in Nature that included signatures from 100’s of statisticians and was timed to coincide with the special issue on-line supplement “Moving to a World Beyond ‘p<0.05′” of the The American Statistician.

The email contains links that may be of interest. I have not read all of them yet and my posting the links here does not imply I agree with the content. However, I do agree with having these conversations and welcome comments and thoughts.

I did watch the NISS webinar and can say I disagreed with a fair amount of what was said — particularly the philosophy underlying Berger’s presentation and many of the assumptions needed to justify the neat and tidy math. I agree with most of Greenland’s talk. We have to get away from the focus on identifying quick methodological fixes and be willing to look at the bigger underlying problems — even if it makes life less comfortable.

Dear Colleague,

We are writing with a brief update on events following the Nature comment "Retire Statistical Significance". In the eight months since publication of the comment and of the special issue of The American Statistician, we are glad to see a rich discussion on internet blogs and in scholarly publications and popular media.

One important indication of change is that since March numerous scientific journals have published editorials or revised their author guidelines. We have selected eight editorials that not only discuss statistics reform but give concrete new guidelines to authors. As you will see, the journals differ in how far they want to go with the reform (all but one of the following links are open access).

1) The New England Journal of Medicine, "New Guidelines for Statistical Reporting in the Journal"
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe1906559

2) Pediatric Anesthesia, "Embracing uncertainty: The days of statistical significance are numbered"
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/pan.13721

3) Journal of Obstetric, Gynecologic & Neonatal Nursing, "The Push to Move Health Care Science Beyond p < .05"
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0884217519304046?via%3Dihub

4) Brain and Neuroscience Advances, "Promoting and supporting credibility in neuroscience"
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/2398212819844167

5) Journal of Wildlife Management, "Vexing Vocabulary in Submissions to the Journal of Wildlife Management"
https://wildlife.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/jwmg.21726

6) Demographic Research, "P-values, theory, replicability, and rigour"
https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol41/32/

7) Journal of Bone and Mineral Research, "New Guidelines for Data Reporting and Statistical Analysis: Helping Authors With Transparency and Rigor in Research"
https://asbmr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/jbmr.3885

8) Significance, "The S word … and what to do about it"
https://rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2019.01295.x

Further, some of you took part in a survey by Tom Hardwicke and John Ioannidis that was published in the European Journal of Clinical Investigation along with editorials by Andrew Gelman and Deborah Mayo:
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/13652362/2019/49/10

We replied with a short commentary in that journal, "Statistical Significance Gives Bias a Free Pass"
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/eci.13176

And finally, joining with the American Statistical Association (ASA), the National Institute of Statistical Sciences (NISS) in the United States has also taken up the reform issue:
https://www.niss.org/news/digging-deeper-radical-reasoned-p-value-alternatives-offered-experts-niss-webinar

With kind regards,
Valentin, Sander, Blake

About Author

about author

MD Higgs

Megan Dailey Higgs is a statistician who loves to think and write about the use of statistical inference, reasoning, and methods in scientific research - among other things. She believes we should spend more time critically thinking about the human practice of "doing science" -- and specifically the past, present, and future roles of Statistics. She has a PhD in Statistics and has worked as a tenured professor, an environmental statistician, director of an academic statistical consulting program, and now works independently on a variety of different types of projects since founding Critical Inference LLC.

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